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The Housing and Development Board (HDB) will release over 25,000 new flats in 2025, announced Minister for National Development Desmond Lee in a joint press release by HDB and the Ministry of National Development (MND) on Jan 16.
This includes about 19,600 build-to-order (BTO) flats in three sales exercises, as well as more than 5,500 sale of balance flats (SBF) in one SBF sale exercise. These units will be a mix of Standard, Plus and Prime BTO flats under the new classification framework.
In the February BTO launch, approximately 5,000 flats will be offered in Kallang/Whampoa, Queenstown, Woodlands, and Yishun. This is in line with the government’s commitment to provide affordable housing options for Singaporeans.
Next month, HDB will also conduct its largest-ever Sale of Balance Flats (SBF) exercise, offering over 5,500 flats across various estates. About 40% of the flats in the SBF exercise are already completed, while the rest are at different stages of construction and are expected to be ready between 2025 and 2028.
In total, more than 10,000 new flats will be available under the February BTO and SBF exercises. This is a result of the government’s efforts to ramp up the BTO supply, with about 82,700 BTO flats launched in the last four years (2021-2024). With the planned pipeline of 19,600 BTO flats in 2025, HDB is on track to exceed its commitment of 100,000 units over five years.
The increase in BTO supply has also led to a drop in application rates. In 2024, the average application rate among first-time homebuyers for BTO flats across all flat types was 2.1, compared to 3.7 in 2019 before the pandemic. The average first-timer application rate for three-room and larger flats in 2020 was 2.2, down from 4.0 in 2019.
Minister Lee assures that HDB will continue to release a steady pipeline of flats to meet housing demand in the next few years, with over 50,000 flats planned for launch between 2025 and 2027. This will bring the total to about 130,000 flats from 2021 to 2027.
In 2025, there will be approximately 3,800 Shorter Waiting Time (SWT) flats of less than three years, which is about one-fifth of the BTO flats slated for launch. This is an increase from the 2,876 SWT flats offered in 2024 and also exceeds the committed annual supply of 2,000 to 3,000 SWT flats.
According to Lee Sze Teck, senior director of data analytics at Huttons Asia, the increase in SWT flats will provide more options for buyers and may also attract demand away from the resale market. He also believes that the larger flat supply and SWT flats will help address the shortfall in Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) flats.
In 2025, an estimated 7,000 HDB flats will reach their five-year MOP, making it the lowest supply of such resale flats since 2015. With HDB’s assurance of pushing out more BTO and SBF flats to meet demand, there will be more choices for buyers and this will also help stabilise the resale market.
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Huttons’ Lee predicts that the number of HDB resale flat transactions in 2025 will range between 26,000 and 28,000, which is lower than the 28,876 units recorded in 2024. Resale flat prices are also expected to grow at a slower pace of 5% to 8% this year, compared to the 9.6% increase seen in HDB’s flash estimate for 2024.…